Vlad mentioned prediction market today. Thats the thesis, I can’t help more that.
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- Posted
- 2026-09-09 09:39 UTC
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- 1d ago via trade comments
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- Robinhood Chain
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Credence v2 goes live September 20 at 23:00 UTC. Will be open to everyone. Every token backs a side of a real Polymarket market. Fees buy the bet. Wins buy back & burn the token. What changed in v2: → Your vault holds its own shares → Nobody can withdraw, including us → Limits are enforced onchain → Winnings always come home → Critical changes have a 12h timelock → Anyone can trigger the permissionless parts Full breakdown: https://x.com/pfwafun/status/2101294064951836809?s=46
1 token 5 different product $pfwa 1. pfwa markets: Launch prediction market based on any coin on robinhood and hyperEVM, ethereum, solana, base and arc. 2. pfwa versus markets: Launch head-to-head prediction markets to bet on which of two tokens will dominate in market cap, price, or volume. 3. pfwa challenge markets: create and trade markets around the PnL performance of fomo traders. 4. Credence by pfwa: launch a pons v2 token paired to a Polymarket prediction. Opening for everyone in soon. ⌛️ 5. RWA markets: trade and create RWAs prediction markets on powered by $prism
🚨 Update on this weeks agenda: • Credence is ready and will open to everyone in 2days; ⏳ • Weekly leaderboards are back for traders and market creators + XP ✅ • Applied to the Arbitrum Open House Singapore this week✅ •possible partnership with your fav project next week!⏳ let’s win 🫵
🔮credence opens for everyone in 2days. Progress update on Twitter today.
You can now trade and create RWAs prediction markets on pfwafun. Powered by $prism; bringing real-world asset data onchain and opening up a whole new category of prediction markets. RWAs → Prediction Markets. 🔮 Demo video for paxos gold on Twitter: https://x.com/pfwafun/status/2100739111581593916?s=46 Let’s win!
Consolidating updates here. 🔮Credence finally opens for everyone; Sept 20, 11PM UTC. 🆚Versus Markets just got an upgrade. You can now create multi-option Versus Markets. Instead of choosing between two tokens, put multiple tokens in the same market and predict which one will come out on top. 📝 Usernames + XP are officially live on pfwadotfun ⚡️ Here’s how to stack XP: +10 XP for every trade (0.001 ETH+) +25 XP for every win +20 XP for every market you create +100 XP for every friend you bring in >Max 3 referrals/week >Referred users must trade 0.001 ETH+ You’ll find the new XP tab on the leaderboard. The weekly leaderboard resets every Monday. Also live: claim your username directly from Portfolio. And there’s more 👀 You can now create and trade prediction markets on @arc tokens, live today. To kick things off, we’re giving $100 USDC on ARC to whoever finishes #1 on the leaderboard at the end of this week. Time to win⚡️
we've been heads-down for a week with Credence. Here's what changed, and what's next: launches reopen next week, open to everyone. 🧵 >Anyone can run a vault's bot from its page(used to be multiple buttons) >Every harvest, $PFWA bbb, bridge, bet and burn is logged with tx links. >Live odds and balances on every vault >cleaner UI across every page. we're also joining the Colosseum Crypto World’s Fair happening tomorrow.
Quick update on hedge partnership(we’re not moving forward with them): Due to some new information, we’ve decided not to move forward with the Hedge stack/API for Credence. We’ll be building the infrastructure ourselves instead. It’s a little more work, but we think it’s the right move for Credence long term. More details tomorrow.
we now support @base bnb chain and solana for target and versus prediction markets. The prediction market contracts are deployed on Robinhood Chain, with price/FDV/volume data powered by @GeckoTerminal using @coingecko’s API. We’ve got markets for $LAPTOP $MARSCOIN & $CATE We’ve also dropped market creation fee. Anyone can create permission-less prediction markets on any coin on these chains, we use @ethos_network terminal for creator credibility.
We’ve got something for the NFT bros while we make Credence perfect.(Hedge our polymarket wrapper provider have now published docs to integrate their markets) We’re making open editions great again. Introducing ed4ns — pronounced “editions” — powered by @DiceProtocolRNG. An open edition meets a survival game: → Mint the OE. You have 24 hours to enter. → Minting closes. Survival begins. → Every ~1 hour, half of the surviving NFTs are randomly eliminated. → Got eliminated? Buy a surviving NFT on the secondary and jump back in. → 70% of mint fees seed the prize pool. → 10% goes to the protocol to buy back $PFWA. → The final 4 survivors split the prize pool. Mint. Survive. Get eliminated. Buy back in. If this works, we’ll open ed4ns up to artists and creators so anyone can launch their own survival open edition. We’d only take 10% to buy back $PFWA. The goal is to reach a diverse audience for pfwa https://x.com/pfwafun/status/2098082588514492788
We’re excited to be working with $hedge @Hedgetradex on X to bring Hedge’s 1x prediction-market infrastructure into credence by PFWA 🔮 This unlocks a major piece of what we’re building with Credence. Credence lets you deploy a Pons V2 token paired with a prediction market, with the underlying prediction powered by Polymarket. With Hedge handling the Polymarket side through their PM wrapper, we can abstract away the underlying Polygon infrastructure and make the experience much simpler; while keeping Credence and the user experience on Robinhood Chain.⚡️ This means we can build prediction-market-backed tokens without forcing users to deal with the complexity of bridging and interacting with Polymarket directly. We’re working through the integration now. More soon.⌛️
🔮credence went live this week. 2 memes paired to a polymarket outcome were created After 2 deploys, we’re listening to our users. We’re working on a partnership to make Credence simpler. Our goal is to remove the cross-chain complexity and keep the entire Credence experience on Robinhood Chain, while still giving users access to prediction markets. More details soon, we’ll be opening it up to everyone when this is solved.
🔮Credence is up now > deploy a pons v2 token paired to a polymarket prediction. > we’re token gating it for now, deployer wallet must hold at least 1m in $pfwa. > no token for credence, $pfwa is the only token. More details tomorrow
What we’re thinking about for the future of PFWA markets The bigger idea: PFWA markets; Target, VS, Challenge — are primitives for how we think prediction markets could eventually pair two memes launched on Pons v2. Since the outcomes in our markets are bonding-curve tokens, we could eventually swap them for Pons V2 tokens. For example, imagine a prediction market asking: Who wins the US election? Outcomes: 1. $Vance 2. $AOC The prediction market becomes a vault that launches two Pons tokens. Traders buy either side as usual. When the market resolves, fees generated from both sides can be used to buy back the winning outcome. In other words, the losing side ultimately exists to benefit the winning side. We think the current PFWA markets are foundational for testing an idea like this and exploring what prediction markets can become. Grateful to everyone experimenting with us. 🫡 🚨 And of course, Credence goes live in ~3 days.
we’ve currently got markets on the fomo 7day/30day pnl of the following fomo traders bonk guy frank nobi dumbcrayoneater Kyle AvgJoesCrypto Qwerty Fomopumpguy anyone can create challenges markets and bet on pnl of any fomo profile
Credence by PFWA — a way to launch PONS V2 token paired with a Polymarket prediction — goes live on the 6th of September at 11 PM UTC.
Writing a long-overdue dev log here: Challenge Markets are running smoothly. We currently have markets live on Bonk Guy, DumbCrayonEater, and 0xnobi, tracking their 7-day PnLs. Every market created on PFWA.fun BBB $PFWA, and so far we’ve burned over 2M $PFWA. We’ve also crossed 1.2 ETH in total platform volume since launching Challenge Markets. With that milestone out of the way, we’re now gearing up to launch Credence next week. Credence is a deployer for Pons V2 that lets you pair tokens with Polymarket predictions. More soon. 🫡
challenge markets are now live, https://x.com/pfwafun/status/2094258791768314008?s=46 we created a prediction market on if Bonk Guy can cross $9m in 7day PnL. market creation on pfwadotfun now auto buyback and burn $pfwa