CATE @13.3M is still early. With 70K+ holders, strong volume and exchange exposure, $20–30M is literally the bare minimum target. The only question is how much higher can it go after 30M.. LOAD UP!
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- Posted
- 2026-08-13 02:17 UTC
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- 3d ago via trade comments
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- Solana
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Other theses on this trade
Help us build CATE’s Reddit presence 🐱 I noticed CATE still has almost no real footprint on Reddit, even though Reddit is one of the biggest platforms for crypto discussion and discovery. So I created r/CATESolana, a community-run subreddit for CATE research, charts, holder/on-chain data, news, comparisons, memes and discussion. If you’re a CATE holder and use Reddit, come join and help us build it from the ground up. Post your research, charts, questions, memes, news, or just join the discussions. The goal is to build a real CATE community there organically — not just another shill page. Join here: https://www.reddit.com/r/CATESolana/
CATE is doing exactly what a strong breakout should do: compressed, broke the triangle, cleared the old ATH, and tagged nearly $98M. Now the healthiest move is a controlled pullback and new higher base around the old resistance zone. If CATE can hold roughly $80–85M, consolidate, and then reclaim $90–100M, the stair-step structure stays very bullish and keeps looking more like WIF’s expansion pattern. I’m going off the Pump.fun/PumpSwap chart for this analysis, so don’t freak out if the Fomo chart looks different or shows a lower number. The feeds can lag or calculate things differently, and Pump is the chart I’m using consistently for the structure.
Aurelius has been unloading millions of CATE again, but instead of triggering panic and a cascading selloff, the market has absorbed the supply and kept the higher-timeframe structure intact. That’s the biggest bullish signal to me: similar whale selling pressure, completely different price response. Buyers are deeper, conviction looks stronger, and the chart keeps building higher bases instead of collapsing. If one whale can distribute heavily and CATE still holds its staircase, that tells me the market is becoming much more mature and less dependent on any single holder.
This chart is a work of art. CATE is building solid structures. Every expansion gets followed by a controlled pullback, sellers get absorbed, weak hands exit, new buyers step in, and price establishes a higher base before the next leg. Behind the scenes, that usually means supply is being redistributed instead of dumped all at once. Each consolidation gives the market time to reset, build support, and create another launch point. That’s why the chart keeps looking like a staircase: pump → pullback → higher base → re-accumulation → next pump This is about as healthy as you can ask for from a memecoin chart.
I’m actually in disbelief. I first caught CATE’s 19-day fractal, where the major cycles were repeating almost exactly 19 days apart. Once that pattern changed, CATE started building a healthier stair-step structure: pump → pullback → higher base → repeat. Today I counted the smaller staircase cycle and thought the next expansion should start around 1–2 PM. CATE was around $57–58M, and right around 2 PM it ripped toward $70M. So now I’m taking the WIF comparison much more seriously now. If the structure keeps playing out, the next checkpoints I’m watching are Sep 16–21: $90–100M, Sep 19–25: $200–300M, Oct 9–12: $700–900M.
CATE is demonstrating a classic stair-step uptrend: pump → pullback → higher base → next pump. This $55–60M area is our current higher base. Once it holds and CATE reclaims $65–70M, the structure gets bullish and it will start another move toward $80–90M
A lot of people probably saw how closely CATE was following the previous cycle and sold early because they were expecting the same brutal ending. But this time the structure is completely different. CATE has been building support at each level, pulling back, consolidating, reclaiming, and then making new highs instead of just going straight up and collapsing. This pullback was partly fear of history repeating itself. CATE has already proved the old fractal is no longer playing out, a lot of the people who sold expecting the crash will end up buying back in… but probably at a much higher price. The old cycle created the fear. The stronger structure this time is what will break the pattern and starts a new one.
CATE has mirrored the previous cycle almost perfectly so far, so naturally a lot of people are probably worrying about the same brutal pullback ending.. But I think this cycle is structurally much stronger. Instead of just shooting straight up, CATE has been building stable bases along the way, pulling back, consolidating, holding support, and then pushing into new highs. Even the violent flush to 36m MC earlier got absorbed quickly and price continued higher. That’s why I think the 19 day mirror may have been useful for predicting the timing of the move, but definitely not the ending. The timing mirrored. The structure changed. I believe this is where the cycle stops repeating, CATE will break the pattern and start a new cycle.
The chart literally told us it’s pumping today… 19 days ago august 21st it did the same thing… 19 days before that august 2nd as well.. but people have just been ignoring… sigh
PONS and CATE are showing a pretty interesting similarity. PONS spent weeks in the $20–40M range, with price drifting lower and going sideways even while the holder count kept growing. It looked weak on the surface, but ownership was actually spreading to more wallets underneath the chart. CATE is showing exact similarities now: price has pulled back and trading sideways hard, but the holder base is still holding around 118K instead of collapsing. Buy orders outweighs sell orders by almost double. The way i see it, supply is changing hands and getting absorbed before the next major move.
The amount of buyers exceeds sellers by almost double.. holder count hasn’t even dropped.. it’s literally loading up
When CATE was around $13M MC, I wrote in my thesis that $20–30M was the BARE minimum based on the holder count, volume, and exposure it already had. Since then, CATE has grown its holder base, gained more exchange exposure, and already proved it can trade near $90M MC. So the floor for what CATE should reasonably be valued at has moved up. $50M MC is the BARE minimum now. Anything below that, to me, is still CATE being undervalued relative to what it has already built and already proven it can do.
People need to relax!! We still have 4.4K buyers vs 3K sellers over the last 24 hours and 16.8K buys vs 12.6K sells. That’s significantly more people buying than selling even during a major drop. The reason price is still falling is because some of the sellers are simply selling bigger size. But those coins aren’t disappearing — they’re being absorbed by a much larger number of buyers. And most importantly, the LP is still sitting around $1.6M. Liquidity didn’t disappear. The community didn’t disappear. People are still actively buying. This is what a violent redistribution/shakeout looks like. Bigger holders take profit or panic sell, price gets hit hard, and their supply gets spread across thousands of new buyers. Could we go lower? Of course. But a coin with no demand doesn’t have 4,400+ buyers stepping in during a dump. Stop staring at one red candle and acting like the entire thesis disappeared overnight. Let the market flush. Let the coins change hands.
CATE is compressing!! Repeated tests of $40–42M resistance while lows rise from ~$28M → ~$31M = pressure building. Similar to the stretch we had from $11M -> $19M back in mid August. Same ceiling, higher floor. If $30–31M keeps holding, a break of $40–42M could send CATE quickly past ATH into the $150–180M range. Bottom line is, this boring consolidation is needed before the massive expansion that is coming!!!
CATE is back consolidating around the $35–40M area, very similar to the boring stretch we saw August 10-20 before the next major expansion. The difference now is the market underneath it looks stronger. Fomo LP was around $1.2M last night and is now closer to $1.3M, even while price pulled back. That’s what I want to see during consolidation: price chops sideways, liquidity gets deeper, and the base keeps building. The August consolidation looked dead until it suddenly wasn’t. If CATE repeats that pattern with stronger LP this time, the next breakout could come from a much healthier foundation. 🐱
Gate Spot just went live about 14 hrs ago, which gives early holders a brand-new exit venue. Deposits are open and trading is live, so whales can send CATE to Gate and sell into USDT without directly dumping everything through PumpSwap. That can create exactly what we’re seeing: listing hype → pump → new liquidity appears → early holders take profit → price cools off. Short term it looks ugly. Long term, CATE keeps holding the $38–42M area while that supply gets absorbed, this will actually be another distribution phase where tokens move from larger early wallets into a broader holder base.
What I keep coming back to is how similar CATE’s distribution phase looks to the early stages of the biggest meme coins. PEPE, BONK, SHIB, WIF — all of them went through periods where early holders and bigger wallets sold into a much larger crowd of smaller buyers. Price looked ugly, whales were taking profit, and people called the run over. But the community stayed. That’s the important part. CATE is showing the same basic process: fewer larger sellers, way more smaller buyers, and supply gradually moving out of concentrated hands and into the hands of the masses. Every shakeout makes the ownership base broader. Whales sell. The community absorbs. Distribution improves. The meme spreads. That’s how a coin stops being controlled by a few early wallets and starts becoming a true mass-held meme. The biggest meme coins didn’t get to billions in one straight line. They got there by surviving distribution and putting more of the supply into more people’s hands.